Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -138 UNT +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +7 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -2.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -0.7 (-7.7) | 139.8 (+21.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -2.4 (-9.4) | 139.0 (+22.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -2.4 (-9.4) | 139.9 (+21.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -1.8 (-8.8) | 138.7 (+22.3) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2023 | LSU 66 – 62 UNT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#89) | 7.4 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#88) | 0.66 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#92) | 1.16 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#119) | 0.518 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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