Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -700 COR +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +5 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -9.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (+15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -9.2 (-4.2) | 153.3 (+17.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -10.1 (-5.1) | 151.1 (+19.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -9.3 (-4.3) | 153.5 (+17.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -9.6 (-4.6) | 152.1 (+18.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-3 |
| Home | 15-5 | 10-1 |
| Away | 2-8 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#46) | 5.3 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#61) | 1.46 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#52) | 1.71 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#72) | 0.567 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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