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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–3 on winners
spread MAE 10.5
7 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
South Dakota
@
Kansas City
|
-0.2 | 144.8 | 48% | 74–61 | ✓ |
Iowa
@
Illinois
|
+2.7 | 157.6 | 62% | 72–74 | ✓ |
Minnesota
@
Northwestern
|
+5.5 | 140.0 | 69% | 62–75 | ✓ |
Charleston
@
Hofstra
|
+3.7 | 160.2 | 64% | 92–76 | ✗ |
Georgia State
@
App State
|
+0.0 | 127.7 | 50% | 71–66 | ✗ |
Western Illinois
@
Oral Roberts
|
+3.3 | 162.8 | 65% | 68–80 | ✓ |
Delaware
@
Towson
|
+6.4 | 138.6 | 75% | 69–56 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.