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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–0 on winners
spread MAE 4.0
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William & Mary
@
UNC Wilmington
|
+11.8 | 144.9 | 87% | 73–80 | ✓ |
UMBC
@
New Hampshire
|
+0.9 | 138.0 | 57% | 62–68 | ✓ |
Saint Louis
@
St. Bonaventure
|
+2.0 | 142.4 | 57% | 79–83 | ✓ |
Lafayette
@
Colgate
|
+13.0 | 141.1 | 87% | 61–69 | ✓ |
Eastern Illinois
@
Austin Peay
|
+10.9 | 129.9 | 86% | 54–62 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.