Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +8 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -15.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -16.1 (-8.1) | 141.4 (-11.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -13.0 (-5.0) | 141.1 (-11.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -12.2 (-4.2) | 141.1 (-11.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -12.2 (-4.2) | 141.7 (-11.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LAF 70 – 69 COLG |
| Dec 31, 2025 | COLG 85 – 77 LAF |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAF 76 – 61 COLG |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COLG 90 – 67 LAF |
| Feb 19, 2024 | COLG 67 – 62 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 6-9 |
| Away | 8-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#134) | -10.0 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#212) | -1.74 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#198) | -2.19 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#179) | 0.433 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 14.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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