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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–2 on winners
spread MAE 8.1
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wyoming
@
Fresno State
|
+1.6 | 131.3 | 59% | 61–59 | ✗ |
Charlotte
@
Florida International
|
+1.3 | 142.6 | 53% | 81–68 | ✗ |
UNC Wilmington
@
Hofstra
|
+6.2 | 148.4 | 77% | 71–73 | ✓ |
Holy Cross
@
Colgate
|
+13.7 | 142.5 | 89% | 60–87 | ✓ |
Hartford
@
UMass Lowell
|
+4.7 | 136.9 | 68% | 75–85 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.