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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–1 on winners
spread MAE 11.6
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Villanova
@
Marquette
|
-0.6 | 143.0 | 48% | 85–68 | ✓ |
Coppin State
@
Iona
|
+12.8 | 137.8 | 88% | 65–85 | ✓ |
Weber State
@
BYU
|
+8.5 | 144.2 | 79% | 79–87 | ✓ |
Kansas City
@
Saint Louis
|
+23.3 | 140.3 | 91% | 46–62 | ✓ |
Northwestern
@
Indiana
|
+5.7 | 142.5 | 75% | 74–67 | ✗ |
Western Illinois
@
DePaul
|
— | — | — | 72–91 | — |
San José State
@
Utah State
|
+19.2 | 150.0 | 90% | 52–85 | ✓ |
New Mexico
@
Boise State
|
+13.5 | 134.8 | 88% | 52–89 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.