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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–0 on winners
spread MAE 5.3
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wisconsin
@
Michigan State
|
-2.0 | 142.5 | 40% | 85–76 | ✓ |
Maryland
@
Purdue
|
+1.5 | 139.8 | 58% | 70–73 | ✓ |
Michigan
@
Nebraska
|
-3.7 | 143.3 | 35% | 80–69 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.