Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
| Money | NEB +290 MICH -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +11 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -3.6 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -3.7 (-7.3) | 143.3 (+5.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -2.2 (-8.8) | 144.5 (+4.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -3.0 (-8.0) | 146.1 (+2.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -2.6 (-8.4) | 144.3 (+4.7) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MICH 75 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2025 | MICH 49 – 46 NEB |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NEB 85 – 70 MICH |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NEB 79 – 59 MICH |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MICH 93 – 72 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-20 | 23-5 |
| Conference | 3-16 | 14-3 |
| Home | 6-9 | 13-1 |
| Away | 1-10 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 65.1 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#117) | 10.9 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#234) | 3.83 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#222) | 6.55 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#260) | 0.722 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 58.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 42.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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