Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | IU -440 NU +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +7 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -6.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -5.7 (-12.7) | 142.5 (-1.5) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -4.6 (-11.6) | 141.9 (-0.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -5.4 (-12.4) | 147.5 (-6.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IU -5.6 (-12.6) | 142.2 (-1.2) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | NU 74 – 61 IU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | NU 72 – 68 IU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | NU 79 – 70 IU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NU 76 – 72 IU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | NU 64 – 62 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 6-13 |
| Home | 6-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#35) | 9.9 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#42) | 0.39 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.61 (#36) | 2.23 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#50) | 0.481 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 42.2% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 32.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.2% | 39.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 79.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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