Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -23.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +16 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -26.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -23.3 (-7.3) | 140.3 (-32.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -19.9 (-3.9) | 130.2 (-22.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -23.9 (-7.9) | 137.4 (-29.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -24.5 (-8.5) | 140.7 (-32.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-7 | 11-13 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 7-7 |
| Home | 12-1 | 8-3 |
| Away | 1-4 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 16.4 (#10) | -5.5 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#38) | -3.17 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.59 (#37) | -5.09 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#30) | 0.376 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 27.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 57.6% |
Game Analysis
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