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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.3
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+13.6 | 135.3 | 86% | 60–70 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.3 | 145.2 | 45% | 71–56 | ✓ |
|
|
-11.1 | 126.9 | 16% | 69–51 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.2 | 137.4 | 85% | 66–90 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.5 | 139.8 | 32% | 64–71 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.