Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | HOF +110 MASS -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +15 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -0.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -0.3 (-15.3) | 143.4 (-16.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -0.4 (-15.4) | 144.6 (-17.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -0.6 (-15.6) | 144.9 (-17.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -1.2 (-13.8) | 143.0 (-16.0) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | HOF 75 – 71 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 11-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#98) | 3.9 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#44) | 1.72 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#52) | 1.74 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.658 (#8) | 0.579 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 5.9 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 18.4% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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