We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Mullins Center · November 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MASS -5.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money MASS -250 / HOF +210
Model Predictions
Spread Total MASS win
Actual HOF +4 146 Lost
Massey MASS -10.6 (-14.6)
Massey Totals 154.3 (-8.3)
Bradley-Terry 36%
Weighted B-T 36%
Baseline Plus ML MASS -5.4 (-9.4) 144.1 (+1.9) 77%
Baseline ML MASS -7.7 (-11.7) 146.1 (-0.1) 75%
Baseline Tuned ML MASS -6.8 (-10.8) 145.9 (+0.1) 70%
Efficiency Plus ML MASS -6.2 (-10.2) 142.8 (+3.2) 68%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 12, 2022 MASS 7156 HOF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MASS HOF
Overall 12-20 15-18
Conference 7-11 6-12
Home 8-8 6-7
Away 4-7 5-9
Neutral 0-5 4-2
Last 5 1-2 2-0
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 72.5 64.5
Avg Pts Against 75.7 65.6
Massey 3.6 (#111) 0.3 (#162)
Bradley-Terry -0.86 (#257) 1.23 (#83)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.03 (#246) 1.42 (#103)
RPI 0.416 (#266) 0.630 (#69)
Shooting & Four Factors MASS HOF
FG% 45.1% 46.7%
3PT% 30.4% 38.1%
REB / G 39.0 34.5
OREB / G 13.3 9.5
AST / TO 1.47 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.2% 54.3%
TOV% 15.1% 21.4%
ORB% 33.6% 30.2%
FT Rate 15.0% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 43.9%
Opp TOV% 19.5% 22.1%
DRB% 66.4% 64.9%
Opp FT Rate 22.2% 28.0%

Game Analysis

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