Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | MINN +250 MSST -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +18 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | MSST -13.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -11.2 (-6.8) | 126.4 (-6.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -12.5 (-5.5) | 125.9 (-5.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -9.0 (-9.0) | 126.0 (-6.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -11.1 (-6.9) | 126.9 (-6.9) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2021 | MINN 81 – 76 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 2-17 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-11 | 12-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.9 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 61.0 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#247) | 14.4 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#219) | 3.82 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#262) | 5.25 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#132) | 0.617 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 43.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 41.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 40.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.3% | 12.7% |
Game Analysis
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