Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | MSST -700 MINN +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | MSST -8.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (+30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -6.8 (-11.8) | 133.6 (+23.4) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -7.2 (-12.2) | 134.9 (+22.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -6.3 (-11.3) | 132.8 (+24.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -6.3 (-11.3) | 134.0 (+23.0) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2022 | MSST 69 – 51 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-16 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#39) | 6.3 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#61) | 2.84 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#57) | 3.65 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#76) | 0.637 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 15.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 42.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.6% | 13.3% |
Game Analysis
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