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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–3 on winners
spread MAE 14.4
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kansas City
@
Oral Roberts
|
+5.5 | 137.5 | 66% | 81–76 | ✗ |
San Diego State
@
Air Force
|
-14.1 | 131.8 | 12% | 91–59 | ✓ |
Radford
@
UNC Asheville
|
+1.9 | 145.6 | 57% | 73–63 | ✗ |
Charleston Southern
@
Gardner-Webb
|
+15.3 | 141.3 | 89% | 71–80 | ✓ |
Loyola Marymount
@
Portland
|
-8.9 | 143.2 | 16% | 75–50 | ✓ |
Presbyterian
@
High Point
|
+8.4 | 130.3 | 77% | 71–56 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.