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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–3 on winners
spread MAE 6.4
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Davidson
@
Oklahoma State
|
+8.1 | 155.2 | 77% | 80–84 | ✓ |
Stephen F. Austin
@
Tulsa
|
+7.5 | 152.9 | 75% | 84–89 | ✓ |
Texas
@
NC State
|
+1.8 | 166.5 | 57% | 68–66 | ✗ |
St. Thomas-Minnesota
@
Seattle U
|
+1.7 | 141.5 | 56% | 52–67 | ✓ |
South Alabama
@
Auburn
|
+18.3 | 151.9 | 95% | 67–78 | ✓ |
UNLV
@
UC Irvine
|
+2.9 | 151.2 | 60% | 75–72 | ✗ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Lehigh
|
+1.4 | 152.7 | 55% | 67–55 | ✗ |
Navy
@
Wake Forest
|
+10.6 | 146.0 | 83% | 72–82 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.