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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–3 on winners
spread MAE 5.6
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberty
@
George Mason
|
+5.0 | 139.2 | 68% | 77–71 | ✗ |
UMBC
@
Howard
|
-0.4 | 143.8 | 49% | 83–86 | ✗ |
UNC Wilmington
@
Yale
|
+6.1 | 145.5 | 71% | 68–67 | ✗ |
Wyoming
@
Wichita State
|
+5.1 | 146.1 | 68% | 70–74 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.