Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -245 WYO +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -4.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -5.2 (-1.2) | 143.3 (+0.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -6.7 (-2.7) | 142.5 (+1.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -6.4 (-2.4) | 144.2 (-0.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -6.3 (-2.3) | 145.4 (-1.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#84) | 5.9 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#93) | 0.70 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#91) | 1.01 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#82) | 0.518 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 34.0% |
Game Analysis
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