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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–4 on winners
spread MAE 4.9
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wagner
@
Howard
|
+0.9 | 132.3 | 53% | 71–68 | ✗ |
Texas Southern
@
Tarleton State
|
+10.7 | 138.6 | 83% | 71–82 | ✓ |
North Texas
@
LSU
|
+1.4 | 134.3 | 55% | 84–77 | ✗ |
Boston College
@
Providence
|
+5.5 | 142.7 | 69% | 62–57 | ✗ |
Xavier
@
Georgia
|
-0.1 | 150.0 | 50% | 76–78 | ✗ |
Cornell
@
Ohio State
|
+9.2 | 155.0 | 80% | 83–88 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.