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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.3
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eastern Kentucky
@
UNC Greensboro
|
+17.9 | 141.7 | 95% | 85–87 | ✓ |
Iowa
@
Iowa State
|
+13.4 | 161.9 | 89% | 65–90 | ✓ |
Little Rock
@
Central Arkansas
|
-9.8 | 164.5 | 19% | 71–75 | ✗ |
IU Indianapolis
@
Eastern Illinois
|
+14.5 | 137.6 | 91% | 58–75 | ✓ |
Portland
@
North Dakota State
|
+8.2 | 159.3 | 77% | 67–78 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.