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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 6.8
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Houston Christian
@
UT Rio Grande Valley
|
+10.1 | 167.5 | 82% | 90–100 | ✓ |
San Diego
@
Arizona State
|
+16.8 | 146.5 | 94% | 67–91 | ✓ |
Colorado State
@
Saint Mary's
|
+15.3 | 131.2 | 92% | 62–60 | ✗ |
Washington State
@
Baylor
|
+2.9 | 150.3 | 60% | 59–65 | ✓ |
Southern Indiana
@
IU Indianapolis
|
-19.2 | 143.9 | 4% | 87–74 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.