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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 6.8
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Illinois
@
Houston
|
+2.0 | 136.4 | 57% | 65–55 | ✗ |
Arkansas
@
Arizona
|
+11.8 | 161.6 | 83% | 88–109 | ✓ |
St. John's
@
Duke
|
+10.8 | 136.8 | 82% | 75–80 | ✓ |
Alabama
@
Michigan
|
+13.2 | 171.1 | 83% | 77–90 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.