Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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2–1 on winners spread MAE 8.3 3 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Michigan State @ UConn +2.7 134.3 59% 63–67 ✓
Tennessee @ Iowa State +5.6 139.7 73% 76–62 ✗
Iowa @ Illinois +8.1 139.6 80% 59–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.