Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 172.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -500 ALA +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +13 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -8.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 175.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -10.3 (+2.7) | 174.4 (-7.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MICH -10.3 (+2.7) | 179.6 (-12.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MICH -13.2 (-0.2) | 171.1 (-4.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -10.8 (+2.2) | 175.7 (-8.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-3 |
| Away | 11-0 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 91.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 82.7 |
| Massey | 28.9 (#1) | 20.3 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.93 (#3) | 3.32 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.22 (#3) | 4.21 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.680 (#1) | 0.637 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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