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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 6.1
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+7.3 | 151.3 | 77% | 69–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.9 | 146.7 | 82% | 77–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.1 | 131.2 | 67% | 77–71 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.