Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | PUR -455 TEX +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -8.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -8.3 (-6.3) | 146.9 (+9.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -7.1 (-5.1) | 144.5 (+11.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -7.7 (-5.7) | 147.4 (+8.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -7.4 (-5.4) | 147.1 (+8.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 21, 2022 | PUR 81 – 71 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-9 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 8-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 10-1 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 81.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 22.6 (#8) | 14.3 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.68 (#7) | 2.34 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.68 (#7) | 3.26 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#13) | 0.556 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 2.21 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 33.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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