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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.0
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
East Tennessee State
@
Wofford
|
-0.1 | 144.0 | 54% | 86–72 | ✓ |
Iowa
@
Oregon
|
-7.1 | 133.6 | 23% | 84–66 | ✓ |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
North Carolina Central
|
-0.6 | 133.1 | 45% | 63–65 | ✗ |
Howard
@
Coppin State
|
-14.3 | 139.2 | 13% | 72–53 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.