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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.7
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. John's
@
UConn
|
+9.1 | 147.4 | 81% | 65–69 | ✓ |
Missouri State
@
Saint Mary's
|
+11.0 | 131.6 | 81% | 69–64 | ✗ |
Temple
@
Portland
|
-2.3 | 148.6 | 40% | 55–54 | ✓ |
Old Dominion
@
Massachusetts
|
+8.3 | 154.0 | 78% | 65–87 | ✓ |
TCU
@
Hawai'i
|
-1.8 | 148.8 | 43% | 65–51 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.