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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–3 on winners
spread MAE 12.2
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UIC
@
UNC Greensboro
|
-5.2 | 140.7 | 28% | 57–58 | ✗ |
Sacramento State
@
UC Davis
|
+10.4 | 143.7 | 85% | 69–63 | ✗ |
Minnesota
@
San Francisco
|
+4.8 | 133.7 | 69% | 58–76 | ✓ |
Oakland
@
Xavier
|
+10.9 | 143.6 | 82% | 78–76 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.