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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–2 on winners
spread MAE 11.4
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robert Morris
@
Towson
|
+10.8 | 132.1 | 82% | 62–66 | ✓ |
Army
@
Indiana
|
+12.1 | 133.5 | 85% | 64–72 | ✓ |
Weber State
@
Saint Mary's
|
— | — | — | 61–57 | — |
UC Davis
@
Montana
|
+5.3 | 144.4 | 71% | 65–78 | ✓ |
Nevada
@
Washington
|
+10.7 | 142.2 | 81% | 83–76 | ✗ |
Michigan
@
St. John's
|
+4.6 | 155.9 | 65% | 89–73 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.