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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–2 on winners
spread MAE 9.9
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Carolina
@
UCLA
|
+3.2 | 147.9 | 63% | 73–66 | ✗ |
Iowa State
@
Miami
|
+0.1 | 133.7 | 51% | 56–70 | ✓ |
Portland
@
Southern Utah
|
+3.6 | 153.7 | 69% | 66–77 | ✓ |
Houston
@
Villanova
|
-2.1 | 128.1 | 42% | 44–50 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.