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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–0 on winners
spread MAE 12.4
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arkansas
@
Duke
|
+2.7 | 148.7 | 60% | 69–78 | ✓ |
Miami
@
Kansas
|
+7.5 | 150.6 | 77% | 50–76 | ✓ |
Saint Peter's
@
North Carolina
|
+7.5 | 137.9 | 77% | 49–69 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.