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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–3 on winners
spread MAE 8.5
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Tech
@
Duke
|
-0.9 | 141.4 | 45% | 73–78 | ✗ |
Houston
@
Arizona
|
+1.1 | 146.2 | 55% | 72–60 | ✗ |
Saint Peter's
@
Purdue
|
+10.0 | 136.6 | 83% | 67–64 | ✗ |
Providence
@
Kansas
|
+7.0 | 144.9 | 74% | 61–66 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.