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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–2 on winners
spread MAE 10.5
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington State
@
BYU
|
+2.6 | 141.3 | 67% | 77–58 | ✗ |
Youngstown State
@
Fresno State
|
+13.4 | 131.5 | 87% | 71–80 | ✓ |
Arkansas
@
Gonzaga
|
+7.5 | 155.9 | 79% | 74–68 | ✗ |
Michigan
@
Villanova
|
+5.4 | 135.2 | 72% | 55–63 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.