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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.5
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
South Carolina Upstate
@
App State
|
+10.6 | 137.1 | 82% | 80–74 | ✗ |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
@
Texas Southern
|
+2.9 | 136.3 | 62% | 67–76 | ✓ |
Princeton
@
VCU
|
+7.9 | 138.1 | 77% | 79–90 | ✓ |
Belmont
@
Vanderbilt
|
+3.8 | 143.2 | 66% | 71–82 | ✓ |
Missouri State
@
Oklahoma
|
+7.7 | 141.4 | 77% | 72–89 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.