Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | OU -260 MOST +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +17 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | OU -5.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -6.5 (+10.5) | 137.0 (+24.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -7.7 (+9.3) | 141.4 (+19.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -7.2 (+9.8) | 142.6 (+18.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -7.1 (+9.9) | 141.6 (+19.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#28) | 8.7 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#43) | 0.95 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#33) | 1.53 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#106) | 0.549 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.