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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–2 on winners
spread MAE 10.8
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Villanova
@
Marquette
|
+0.4 | 143.4 | 49% | 85–68 | ✗ |
Coppin State
@
Iona
|
+13.8 | 136.9 | 88% | 65–85 | ✓ |
Weber State
@
BYU
|
+9.3 | 143.4 | 76% | 79–87 | ✓ |
Kansas City
@
Saint Louis
|
+24.5 | 140.7 | 91% | 46–62 | ✓ |
Northwestern
@
Indiana
|
+5.6 | 142.2 | 65% | 74–67 | ✗ |
Western Illinois
@
DePaul
|
— | — | — | 72–91 | — |
San José State
@
Utah State
|
+23.7 | 149.9 | 90% | 52–85 | ✓ |
New Mexico
@
Boise State
|
+16.7 | 134.4 | 86% | 52–89 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.