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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–4 on winners
spread MAE 9.2
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ole Miss
@
Iowa State
|
+3.0 | 147.9 | 54% | 91–78 | ✗ |
New Mexico
@
Michigan State
|
+6.0 | 146.7 | 76% | 63–71 | ✓ |
Jacksonville State
@
UC Irvine
|
+9.6 | 140.4 | 80% | 61–66 | ✓ |
Kent State
@
Stanford
|
+6.5 | 138.1 | 68% | 77–75 | ✗ |
UAB
@
Santa Clara
|
+11.1 | 163.6 | 69% | 88–84 | ✗ |
Oregon
@
Arizona
|
+2.5 | 152.1 | 63% | 83–87 | ✓ |
Incarnate Word
@
Jacksonville
|
+1.6 | 141.1 | 61% | 87–71 | ✗ |
Army
@
Florida Gulf Coast
|
+8.0 | 145.7 | 82% | 65–68 | ✓ |
Queens University
@
Cleveland State
|
+2.1 | 139.7 | 59% | 73–88 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.