Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | STAN -320 KENT +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +2 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -7.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -7.2 (-9.2) | 136.8 (+15.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -6.5 (-8.5) | 138.1 (+13.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -6.6 (-8.6) | 136.8 (+15.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -7.0 (-9.0) | 136.9 (+15.1) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 17-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#82) | 2.7 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#76) | 0.73 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#84) | 0.66 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#77) | 0.554 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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