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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–0 on winners
spread MAE 6.1
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-2.2 | 148.2 | 42% | 86–72 | ✓ |
|
|
-9.4 | 138.1 | 20% | 84–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.2 | 133.6 | 54% | 63–65 | ✓ |
|
|
-15.7 | 147.8 | 8% | 72–53 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.