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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–0 on winners
spread MAE 9.7
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rutgers
@
Oregon
|
+8.1 | 154.5 | 77% | 57–75 | ✓ |
Louisville
@
Notre Dame
|
-6.5 | 147.4 | 28% | 75–60 | ✓ |
Valparaiso
@
Evansville
|
+0.7 | 141.5 | 52% | 69–79 | ✓ |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
Howard
|
+13.0 | 154.2 | 88% | 62–86 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.