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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.4
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona State
@
California
|
+2.2 | 147.6 | 58% | 71–69 | ✗ |
Hampton
@
Drexel
|
+17.6 | 134.6 | 95% | 65–99 | ✓ |
UT Arlington
@
Texas
|
+16.7 | 146.8 | 94% | 62–79 | ✓ |
North Alabama
@
Texas Tech
|
+17.8 | 147.5 | 95% | 57–85 | ✓ |
East Texas A&M
@
TCU
|
+23.9 | 148.6 | 99% | 42–77 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.