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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 16.8
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota
@
Princeton
|
+3.2 | 132.3 | 61% | 87–80 | ✗ |
Idaho State
@
Seattle U
|
+7.0 | 130.3 | 74% | 51–77 | ✓ |
Texas State
@
Vanderbilt
|
+4.8 | 149.0 | 67% | 60–79 | ✓ |
Nicholls
@
Baylor
|
+10.4 | 137.6 | 83% | 60–89 | ✓ |
Bowling Green
@
Ohio State
|
+9.0 | 144.9 | 79% | 58–89 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.