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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–2 on winners
spread MAE 9.2
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Syracuse
@
Houston
|
+8.9 | 142.1 | 79% | 46–62 | ✓ |
Mississippi State
@
Memphis
|
+3.4 | 132.8 | 62% | 64–77 | ✓ |
Creighton
@
Gonzaga
|
+11.5 | 164.2 | 85% | 65–83 | ✓ |
Louisiana Tech
@
Colorado State
|
+1.1 | 138.2 | 54% | 76–74 | ✗ |
Florida State
@
Michigan
|
+3.7 | 147.7 | 63% | 58–76 | ✓ |
UCLA
@
Alabama
|
+4.8 | 148.3 | 67% | 88–78 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.