Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | ALA -275 UCLA +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +10 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | ALA -5.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -3.7 (-13.7) | 144.7 (+21.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ALA -4.1 (-14.1) | 143.8 (+22.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | ALA -5.7 (-15.7) | 146.6 (+19.4) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -5.3 (-15.3) | 145.2 (+20.8) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 7-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Massey | 18.2 (#7) | 13.0 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#6) | 2.51 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#6) | 3.29 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#4) | 0.601 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.