Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CSU -120 LT +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +2 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | CSU -0.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -0.8 (-2.8) | 134.4 (+15.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -0.4 (-2.4) | 135.7 (+14.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -0.5 (-2.5) | 137.0 (+13.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -0.8 (-2.8) | 137.0 (+13.0) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | CSU 81 – 73 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#69) | 7.3 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#44) | 1.55 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#63) | 1.82 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#36) | 0.574 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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