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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–2 on winners
spread MAE 15.5
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Memphis
@
Colorado State
|
-1.8 | 135.4 | 44% | 90–67 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Loyola Chicago
|
+7.8 | 125.9 | 76% | 65–58 | ✗ |
Louisiana Tech
@
Mississippi State
|
-0.2 | 132.9 | 49% | 62–84 | ✗ |
Villanova
@
Baylor
|
+4.9 | 149.4 | 67% | 51–62 | ✓ |
Oral Roberts
@
Arkansas
|
+15.2 | 162.3 | 92% | 70–72 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.