Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | HOU -250 SYR +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +16 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -8.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-32.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -9.6 (+6.4) | 136.7 (-28.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -10.2 (+5.8) | 141.8 (-33.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -9.1 (+6.9) | 139.6 (-31.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -7.9 (+8.1) | 139.4 (-31.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2025 | HOU 78 – 74 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-4 | 18-10 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 9-7 |
| Home | 15-0 | 13-1 |
| Away | 5-3 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.6 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 20.1 (#4) | 11.6 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.16 (#5) | 1.95 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.01 (#5) | 2.46 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#3) | 0.584 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 39.9% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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